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This is a market on which team will win the NBA Championship for the 2024-2025 season.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Indiana Pacers

LA Clippers

Miami Heat

Los Angeles Lakers

Memphis Grizzlies

New Orleans Pelicans

New York Knicks

Portland Trail Blazers

Detroit Pistons

Orlando Magic

Philadelphia 76ers

Sacramento Kings

 Minnesota Timberwolves

Phoenix Suns

San Antonio Spurs

Atlanta Hawks

Toronto Raptors

Boston Celtics

Utah Jazz

Brooklyn Nets

Washington Wizards

Charlotte Hornets

Chicago Bulls

Cleveland Cavaliers

Dallas Mavericks

Denver Nuggets

Golden State Warriors

Houston Rockets

Milwaukee Bucks

NBA Champion

This market will resolve according to the driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2025 F1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As soon as the results for the final scheduled race of the 2025 F1 season are known this market will resolve.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), this market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season has not been completed by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1. 


Oscar Piastri

Lando Norris

Max Verstappen

George Russell

Charles Leclerc

Fernando Alonso

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

Liam Lawson

Pierre Gasly

Lewis Hamilton

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Lance Stroll

Jack Doohan

Esteban Ocon

Oliver Bearman

Yuki Tsunoda

Nico Hülkenberg

Gabriel Bortoleto

Isack Hadjar

Alexander Albon

F1 Drivers Champion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.

Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.

This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.

Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.

This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if either of the following conditions are met:

1.  The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) publicly announces that a recession has occurred in the United States, at any point in 2025, with the announcement made by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

2.  The seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly U.S. real GDP from the previous quarter is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 (inclusive), as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). 

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

Note that advance estimates will be considered. For example, if upon release, the advance estimate for Q2 2025 was negative, and the Q1 2025's most recent, up-to-date estimate was also negative, this market would resolve to "Yes". If on December 31, 2025 the latest estimate for quarterly GDP in Q3 2025 was negative, this market will stay open until the Advance estimate of Q4 2025 is published, at which point it will resolve to "Yes" if Q4 2025 was negative or if the NBER declares a recession by then.

The resolution source will be the official announcements from the NBER and the BEA’s estimate of seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly US real GDP from previous quarters as released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product

US recession in 2025?

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